Si elle reconnat que les relations entre Trump et le dirigeant nord-coren ne sont pas mauvaises, la sur de Kim Jong-un exclut toute discussion sur la dnuclarisation et avec Soul.
Si elle reconnat que les relations entre Trump et Kim Jong-un ne sont pas mauvaises, la sur du dirigeant exclut toute discussion sur la dnuclarisation et avec la nouvelle administration sud-corenne.
To be fair, Trump has stopped the war on pedos ..
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The Bank of Japan is likely to hold its key rate at 0.5% as a tariff breakthrough between Japan and the U.S. is evaluated and political uncertainly weighs on the central bank.
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Ukrainische Anleihen stiegen aufgrund von Trumps uerungen zu Russland
Trumps Shortened Deadline For Putin Will Soon Reveal Which Of Them Miscalculated
Trumps Shortened Deadline For Putin Will Soon Reveal Which Of Them Miscalculated
By
Polar opposite understandings of the Sino-Indo prisoners dilemma lie at the core of their calculations.
Trump on Monday that he was shortening his 50-day deadline to Putin for a ceasefire in Ukraine to about 10 or 12 days from today, thus meaning that he plans to impose up to 100% tariffs on all its trading partners by 7-9 August, but likely with exceptions such as the EU that he just subjugated. Turkiye might also be excluded given its attempt to at Russias expense, as could minor US trade partners like the Central Asian Republics as long as they curtail trade with Russia.
The question on everyones mind is whether hell tariff China and India, if they dont cut off or at least curtail their resource-centric imports from Russia, that is. Theyre Russias top trading partners, which collectively form the RIC core of , yet they trade more with the US (with whom theyre in ongoing trade negotiations) than with Russia. China and India are also some of the worlds largest economies so the US imposition of 100% tariffs could destabilize the global economy and raise prices for Americans.
Trump just clinched a lopsided trade deal with the EU that turned it into , which might embolden him to tariff China and/or India despite their ongoing trade talks if they defy him should he believe that this new arrangement can help reduce the blowback to the US. Hes therefore calculating that China and/or India will at least curtail energy imports from Russia, whether voluntarily or under tariff duress, thus hitting its coffers and making Putin more pliable to concessions with time.
For his part, Putin is calculating that Russia can still achieve its goals in full controlling the entirety of the disputed regions, demilitarizing Ukraine, it, and then restoring its constitutional neutrality even if China and/or India curtail trade with it, though hes not sure they will. Each is under tremendous pressure from the US in their own way so he might expect them to defy it. If both do so, then they might patch up their problems, thus turning RIC into a force to be reckoned with by the US.
Trumps and Putins calculations have the in common. Trumps tariff threats and the other arms-related pillars of his towards Ukraine are correspondingly intended to coerce economic-political concessions from China and India and geopolitical-security ones from Russia. He expects at least one of BRICS Asian anchors to even only partially comply, thus enabling him to exacerbate the Sino-Indo rivalry for the US hegemonic benefit and then put more pressure on Russia.
None of them wants to be the last to reach a deal with the US, Trump believes, and accordingly have much less negotiating flexibility than ever. Putin conversely believes that China and India are more concerned about the consequences of the other becoming Russias top partner if their country complies with the US but their rival doesnt (as explained ) than with the consequences of Trumps threatened tariffs. Hes also confident that the US cant stop Russia from achieving its goals in any case.
Trumps shortened deadline for Putin will therefore soon reveal which of them miscalculated. The whole reason why everything has gotten to the point where the US might further escalate its involvement in this conflict is due to Trump being by and others as elaborated in the preceding hyperlinked analyses. Early Junes assessment that has just been vindicated.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are authors own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.
CBS a dcid de mettre fin au Late Show , une mission satirique dont lanimateur trille rgulirement le prsident amricain, pour des raisons financires .